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Shadow Inventory Declines

October 18 2012

falling prices smallSeriously delinquent, foreclosed and REO properties dropped to 2.3 million units in July. This represents a six month supply. 'Shadow inventory' is not included in the housing inventory reported by NAR and tends to hold down prices until cleared in any given market.

Of the 2.3 million properties currently in the shadow inventory, 1 million units are seriously delinquent (2.9 months' supply), 900,000 are in some stage of foreclosure (2.5-months' supply) and 345,000 are already in REO (1.0-months' supply).

The dollar volume of shadow inventory was $382 billion as of July 2012, down from $397 billion a year ago and $385 billion last month.

Here's a link to the full Shadow Inventory report for July.

Highlights:

The current residential shadow inventory as of July 2012 fell to 2.3 million units, representing a supply of six months. This was a 10.2 percent drop from July 2011, when shadow inventory stood at 2.6 million unity, which is approximately the same level the country was experiencing in March 2009. Currently, the flow of new seriously delinquent (90 days or more) loans into the shadow inventory has been roughly offset by the equal volume of distressed (short and real estate owned) sales.

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